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Showing posts from June, 2020

The World This Week – 5th June 2020 to 12th June 2020

Indian Equity Summary-  ·         Benchmark indices ,Nifty 50 and Sensex closed in red and fell by 1.67% and 1.48% on a WoW basis, after registering gains for two successive Ø weeks. The fall in the indices was majorly triggered by the concerns over the surge in domestic Covis-19 cases and possibility of longer than expected economic recovery. Most of the Sectoral indices ended in red on a WoW basis, with BSE Metals and BSE Bankex being the worst performing indices by recording losses of 4.27% and 2.41%.  ·         On macro-economic front, Retail food inflation stood at 9.28% in May 2020 and Industrial production contracted by 55.5% in April 2020.On the Ø Global front as expected the Fed kept rate unchanged at 0% -0.25% during policy-meeting held on 10th June 2020 and projected a 5% growth in 2021.Going forward, global factors like development on the US -China relationship front , any resurgence of Covid-19 cases globally, as economies have started opening up and will continue

The World This Week : 29th May 2020 – 5th June 2020

Indian Equity Summary-   ·  The Global and the domestic equity market witnessed a broad based rally on the backdrop of gradual reopening of the global economy and Ø  unprecedented stimulus package implemented worldwide by the central banks and government. The domestic equity market, in line with the global markets closed in green for the second consecutive week with Nifty 50 and Sensex up by 5.86% and 5.75% respectively.   ·  Majority of the sectoral indices closed in green on a W-o-W basis with the top performing sectoral indices being BSE Realty, BSE Consumer,Durable, BSE Metals that rose by 11.12%, 10.03% and 9.27% respectively.   ·  Going forward, global factors like development on the US -China relationship front , Covid-19 situations as globally economies have started, opening up and as the remaining results of the earnings seasons unfold will continue to dictate the trend of the domestic equity market. We expect the trading range for Nifty between 9800-10,300 in the near

ADVICE FOR THE WISE – JUNE 2020

FROM THE CEO’s DESK Dear Investors, “We simply attempt to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful”- Warren Buffet. The Covid19 curve is flattening globally. The central banks and governments around the world came out with a slew of monetary and fiscal measures, which ensured that stress on credit markets was swiftly arrested and credit spreads stabilized. As the global economy progressively opens up, there is a increasing evidence of business activity picking up and step by step moving in the direction of normalisation. Partial resumption of financial activities globally had already casted its mirrored image on equity markets. Global equity is staging a "V"-shaped recovery, whilst domestic equity indices are trading above March lows by approximately 33 percent. Corrections in equity market throws possibilities to buy quality stocks at cheaper valuations. We foresee this correction and the year 2020 from an investment opportunity p

Monetary Policy : Agile RBI fights economic slowdown

In an effort to support the ailing economy from the negative impact of the Covid-19 pandemic, the RBI on 22nd May announced a series of measures, along with a cut in repo and reverse rate by 40bps to 4% and 3.35%; a basis point is 0.01 percentage point. In a span of just 2 months MPC has now reduced the policy rate by 115 bps. The advancing of its MPC meet and the additional measures in shape of liquidity expansion, support to exports and imports and continuation of accommodative stance displays RBIs agility and readiness to mitigate the negative effect of COVID-19 along with focus on growth. Domestic economic activity had been severely impacted on the back of the lock-down and the only silver lining is provided by agriculture, with the summer sowing of rice, pulses and oilseeds in the country progressing well. The GDP growth is indicated to contract sharply as the drop in economic activity has been higher than expectation. Moderation in inflation as witnessed in recent months